Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 3.071403 3.687971 4.378378 5.206083 6.168606 7.249683 8.552794
2025-06-01 2.170095 2.945996 3.908694 5.179959 6.802142 8.789300 11.392417
2025-06-08 1.641114 2.474237 3.601180 5.212399 7.427522 10.332406 14.389539
2025-06-15 1.273576 2.108055 3.325801 5.190116 7.919736 11.707480 17.281813
2025-06-22 0.958271 1.733760 2.949158 4.931314 8.004267 12.489555 19.402412
2025-06-29 0.774655 1.518349 2.760271 4.900826 8.386876 13.698442 22.208525
2025-07-06 0.633977 1.340664 2.593181 4.865233 8.735438 14.865094 25.031737
2025-07-13 0.573405 1.293389 2.634982 5.174113 9.661599 16.995846 29.504088
2025-07-20 0.503879 1.212380 2.599753 5.337023 10.350638 18.796025 33.587092
2025-07-27 0.457001 1.166892 2.621323 5.600519 11.234079 20.980884 38.454684
2025-08-03 0.390545 1.063437 2.510592 5.595157 11.626731 22.357028 42.065006
2025-08-10 0.317822 0.927660 2.309042 5.379848 11.598817 22.987095 44.431635
2025-08-17 0.253220 0.796362 2.096383 5.116733 11.460439 23.428260 46.546088
2025-08-24 0.215666 0.725058 2.005205 5.096391 11.796823 24.764919 50.365615
2025-08-31 0.187051 0.670526 1.943241 5.130221 12.244579 26.343787 54.740583
2025-09-07 0.160091 0.612978 1.862757 5.108878 12.571112 27.710795 58.810870
2025-09-14 0.127718 0.528090 1.694705 4.853864 12.361067 27.998026 60.834170
2025-09-21 0.109273 0.482939 1.623669 4.823868 12.643361 29.292028 64.896254
2025-09-28 0.093471 0.441669 1.554998 4.788792 12.907946 30.566030 68.999065
2025-10-05 0.089540 0.443623 1.613156 5.093418 13.997063 33.646511 76.932158
2025-10-12 0.081928 0.428727 1.617607 5.254095 14.756930 36.076354 83.679050
2025-10-19 0.077362 0.424966 1.656247 5.513994 15.782463 39.149232 91.933414
2025-10-26 0.067457 0.394652 1.603457 5.508705 16.149364 40.801254 97.308622